​The Saturday UFC 329 card marks the return of former two-division UFC champion Conor McGregor. In the night’s main event, McGregor goes against former UFC featherweight champion Max Holloway in a rematch of their 2013 meeting at 145 pounds, a bout McGregor won by unanimous decision. At UFC 329, the clash shifts to the welterweight limit of 170 pounds, with McGregor and Holloway preparing for a new matchup on the big stage. Below, you’ll find a detailed look at the betting odds, line movement, potential prop bets, and picks for the UFC 329 main card.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – JULY 09: (L-R) Conor McGregor and Max Holloway face off during the UFC 329 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on July 09, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC
When the betting odds opened for McGregor vs. Holloway 2, Holloway was a -345 favorite over the +250 McGregor. As money has come in on McGregor, the lines have tightened. Today, Holloway sits at -235, while McGregor is listed at +190. In terms of bet distribution, 85 percent of bets are backing McGregor, and the majority of the handle, 73 percent, also sits with McGregor. The current betting pick favors Holloway to win by knockout over McGregor.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – JULY 09: (L-R) Benoit Saint-Denis and Paddy Pimblett face off during the UFC 329 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on July 09, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC
Opening odds for Benoit Saint Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett had Saint Denis at -160 and Pimblett at +125. Those lines have since shifted. Today, Saint Denis is a -145 favorite, with Pimblett at +120. The vast majority of bets (87 percent) have been placed on Pimblett, while 55 percent of the money has gone toward Saint Denis. The betting pick projects Saint Denis to win by decision, though there is notable value in backing Pimblett to win via submission.
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LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – JULY 10: Cory Sandhagen poses on the scale during the UFC 329 official weigh-in at T-Mobile Arena on July 10, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC
Initial betting odds had Cory Sandhagen listed as the -150 favorite over Mario Bautista. As fight night approaches, those odds have remained relatively steady. Today, Sandhagen sits at -145, while Bautista is at +115. Despite Bautista’s underdog status, he has drawn the majority of bets, about 60 percent, and an even larger share of the handle, around 81 percent. The betting pick leans toward a Sandhagen decision victory.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – JULY 10: Lone’er Kavanagh of England poses on the scale during the UFC 329 official weigh-in at T-Mobile Arena on July 10, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC) Zuffa LLC
Lone’er Kavanagh opened as a -200 favorite over Royval, who started at +160. As the betting market has evolved, Kavanagh has grown into a bigger favorite at -220, while Royval sits as the +180 underdog. With more action targeting the favored fighter, the line movement reflects growing confidence in Kavanagh’s performance at the event.