​Do you want more Covers content in your feed? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The Los Angeles Dodgers aim to regain momentum against the Arizona Diamondbacks after dropping the series opener. Los Angeles is listed at -257 on the moneyline, and the total has been raised to 9.5 due to hitter-friendly conditions. Our Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks favor the home team and the Under for Saturday, July 11.
The Dodgers essentially surrendered Game 1 with a 9-3 defeat after Shohei Ohtani was scratched from his scheduled start. With Thursday’s off day bundled into the mix, L.A. is well positioned to bounce back tonight. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.49 ERA) has shown strong results against these hitters (.172 batting average, .505 OPS) and holds a substantial starting pitching advantage over Brandon Pfaadt (4.95 FIP, 95 Stuff+). The Diamondbacks have struggled against right-handed pitching (70 wRC+), and the Dodgers should plate enough runs off Pfaadt to create separation. Consider betting the run line to -135.
Covers intelligence: Yamamoto is poised to exploit a Diamondbacks lineup that ranks near the bottom league-wide against his splitter (19 wRC+)—an offering that has produced -13 runs above average for the Diamondbacks in those matchups. The Dodgers have trended toward the Under in 10 of Yamamoto’s last 15 starts. He’s been in peak form, recording a 0.77 WHIP and a .163 average against over his past eight outings, and his length could be extended after Friday’s bullpen game.
The Dodgers have struggled offensively with a 99 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in the last two weeks. Arizona’s bullpen, by contrast, has been strong during that span (2.91 ERA, 3.05 SIERA), which helps offset Pfaadt’s inefficiency. Arizona has also tended to produce lower-scoring games outside of hitter-friendly Chase Field (park factor of 103), going 3-13 O/U in its last 16 road games.
JD Yonke’s 2026 transparency record shows MR/RL bets at 26-27, -4.9 units and Over/Under bets at Y-Y, +14.9 units. The current lines are Diamondbacks +245, Dodgers -257 on the moneyline; Diamondbacks +1.5 ( +113 ) and Dodgers -1.5 ( -122 ) on the run line; Over 9.5 ( +133 ) and Under 9.5 ( -138 ) on the total.
Historically, the Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last 11 starts. For additional MLB betting trends on this Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers matchup, see Covers’ baseball insights.
Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
First pitch: 9:10 p.m. ET
TV: DBacks TV, SportsNet LA
Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt (2-1, 4.84 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (9-5, 2.49 ERA)
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