​Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.England vs. Argentina is a matchup with a deep history both on and off the pitch, and this is the first time that Lionel Messi will have played in the encounter.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementEngland are slight favorites to advance at -125, with the reigning champions at +115.This England team has shown dogged resilience throughout the tournament, and they’re more well-rounded than Argentina, who have advanced thanks to moments of magic.That’s why today’s England vs. Argentina predictions and World Cup picks expect England to advance into Sunday’s World Cup finale against Spain when this game kicks off at 3 p.m. ET on FOX.PickPriceWho will win pick: England to advance-125Over/Under pick: Over 2.5+129Argentina might be the defending champs, but the starting lineup is largely unchanged from that victory, and another four years on the legs will have an impact. There’s always the Lionel Messi factor at play when Argentina are on the field, and the little maestro is the dangerman, but Thomas Tuchel has shown that he’s a smart tactician. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementIndeed, England have consistently found ways to change games through substitutions, such as bringing on Djed Spence late in games, or through tactical tweaks from the manager. Meanwhile, Argentina have found their way through games off the back of moments of magic from their players, often Lionel Messi. The difficulty with magic is that it’s hard to replicate time and again, whereas Tuchel’s ability to change games via subs and tweaks is something that can come into play again if England need it.While Julián Álvarez has played well, it’s hard to argue against Argentina being too reliant on Messi at this stage, whereas England are seeing success in several areas. Jude Bellingham, in particular, has been the standout and is arguably the player of the tournament so far, with his leadership in midfield, work rate, and late runs into the box pushing England to new heights.I’d play England advancing up to -135.Covers COVERS INTEL:Statistically, Argentina have had the easiest route to a World Cup semifinal in history in terms of FIFA World Ranking, facing Algeria (28th), Austria (24th), Jordan (63rd), Cape Verde (67th), Egypt (29th), and Switzerland (19th) ahead of this match.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementWith both teams better in attack than defense, I love the Over. One of the main reasons why I’m confident in goals, as well as England advancing, is Argentina’s fullbacks. Neither Nahuel Molina nor Nicolas Tagliafico is an elite defender, and we’ve seen other teams have real success down the flanks against Argentina.It doesn’t help those fullbacks that Argentina don’t have traditional wingers, which can often leave them exposed and in one-on-one matchups. We saw Cape Verde and Egypt in particular cause them real issues on the counterattack in wide posi