​There will be 14 horses that win Breeders’ Cup races on Friday-Saturday at Keeneland Race Course. Those horses will pay an average of $12.95 to win, and key superfecta and pick 4 payouts of about $5,000 each. The goal in analyzing these races is not to have all 14 winners – that’s just about impossible; the goal is to find the right combination of opinions to help cash in for those thousands of dollars. The graphic below is the average payout across all races on Breeders’ Cup days in 2022 at Keeneland.Here are the average payouts the last time the @BreedersCup was @keenelandracing (Nov. 4-5, 2022) pic.twitter.com/X2cAhMsRif— Ed DeRosa (@EJXD2) October 28, 2026Here’s my breakdown and picks for Friday’s races.Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf SprintConditions: 5 1/2 furlongs on turf for 2-year-olds. Purse: $1 million. Post time: 2:55 p.m. Friday. Post position, horse, trainer, jockey, morning-line odds1. Moonrise, Andrew Balding, Oisin Murphy, 12-12. Good to Be King, Rusty Arnold, Jose Ortiz, 12-13. Libertango, George Boughey, Flavien Prat, 5-24. Brickyard Belle, Miguel Clement, Manny Franco, 3-15. Mussab, Richard Fahey, Oisin Orr, 15-16. Velozee, Paddy Twomey, Tyler Gaffalione, 20-17. Crownbreaker, Kevin Philippart De Foy, John Velazquez, 20-18. Force Noir, Robson De Aguiar, David Egan, 8-19. Final Objective, Hamad Al Jehani, James Doyle, 8-110. Harper’s Corner, Cathal Lynch, Paco Lopez, 8-111. Hell of A Spin, Adrian Paul Keatley, Mikey Sheehy, 15-112. Primetime Emmy, Francis-Henri Graffard, Mickael Barzalona, 15-1Also eligible13. Ruiva, Wesley Ward, Juan Hernandez, 12-114. Wood Island, George Weaver, Flavien Prat, 15-115. Adonius, Rebecca Menzies, John Velazquez, 12-116. Love a Warrior, Steve Asmussen, Luis Saez, 30-117. Fanshell Beach, Wesley Ward, Jose Ortiz, 30-1My thoughts: The first of 14 Breeders’ Cup races across two days on Friday-Saturday at Keeneland Race Course is the Juvenile Turf Sprint, and while plenty of big prices await this weekend, I wouldn’t expect one in this race that kicks off Future Stars Friday.No. 3 Libertango is the only horse to have defeated Sun Goddess this year, and she lost the rematch to her by only a length last out. Sun Goddess figures to be one of the weekend’s biggest favorites when she tries the Juvenile Fillies Turf later on Friday, which leaves Libertango as a formidable force in this spot. No. 1 Moonrise lost some shine with the rail draw, but both she and Libertango are carrying a lot less weight here than they did in Europe.PICKS: 3-1-10Breeders’ Cup Juvenile FilliesConditions: 1 1/16 miles on dirt for 2-year-old fillies. Purse: $2 million. Post time: 3:35 p.m. Friday. Post position, horse, trainer, jockey, morning-line odds1. Scarlett Begonia, Brad Cox, Manny Franco, 20-12. Domain Expansion, Leonard Powell, Adrian Escobedo, 6-13. Foxiest, Brad Cox, Junior Alvarado, 15-14. Rum Twist, Mark Hennig, John Velazquez, 15-15. Miss Monica, Bob Baffert, Flavien Prat, 5-26. Revenge of the Sis, Geo