​Where would you place the Dallas Cowboys’ projected starters in comparison to the rest of the NFL? Take a moment to consider it. You probably know how the global leader ranked them. Before we proceed, it’s useful for each of us to set our own expectations about what seems fair and what doesn’t.
You’re likely aware that ESPN rated Dallas as roughly average. That assessment came this week when ESPN released a ranking of all projected starters across the league. The Cowboys landed at number 14, and here is ESPN’s take on them in several areas.
Biggest strength: Wide receiver. As in years past, the Cowboys’ passing attack is anchored by a strong wideout room that helped lead the NFL in passing yards in 2025. It begins with CeeDee Lamb, who, despite missing five games over the last two seasons, has posted 1,000-plus receiving yards in five consecutive campaigns. Since entering the league in 2020, Lamb ranks among the top five in receptions (571) and receiving yards (7,416). George Pickens just had a breakout 2025 season in Dallas, finishing no lower than seventh among wide receivers in catches, receiving yards, touchdowns, and yards per target. Depth is provided by Ryan Flournoy and the versatile KaVontae Turpin.
Biggest weakness: Cornerback. Dallas doesn’t have many glaring problem areas, but an unproven cornerback group stands out as the major red flag. This unit needs to improve after Dallas ranked last in defensive EPA, allowed a 58.4 QBR (29th), and generated only six interceptions in 2025. DaRon Bland dealt with injuries in 2025 but remains the clear standout of this group. Acquisitions include ex-Rams corners Cobie Durant and Derion Kendrick, who will battle second-year player Shavon Revel Jr. (who finished last among corners in PFF grade in 2025), fourth-round rookie Devin Moore, and others for starting roles.
X-factor for 2026: Safety Caleb Downs. If the defense is going to take a meaningful step forward, it could hinge on Downs making a significant impact. Donovan Ezeiruaku or Malachi Lawrence might pressure the edge, Bland could snatch more interceptions, but Downs offers the possibility of a catalyst that could elevate the entire unit. The Cowboys traded up to secure him at No. 11, and if he helps transform the defense from below average to competitive, watch out.
Nonstarter to know: Turpin. He’s widely regarded as one of the best kick return specialists in the league, and he’s also proven useful as a depth receiver, posting receiving DVOA above 15.0% in two of the last three seasons. Last year, Turpin recorded 26 receptions for 396 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 2.3 yards after catch over expectation.
This assessment feels largely fair. The wide receiver corps is the team’s strongest suit, while cornerback remains the most notable weakness. That dynamic set the stage for some compelling battles during training camp. It’s reasonable to regard Caleb Downs as the true X-factor for the Cowboys’ 2026 outlook. If he can spark a catalytic rookie season, it could pave the way for a broader, positive transformation across the defense.