​We’re now through 20 points races in the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series regular season, with Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick becoming the first drivers to clinch spots in The Chase. THat leaves 14 spots left up for grabs, with six points remaining before the 10-race chase begins. Now, thanks to some great work by Reddit user scepthan, a The Chase points to clinch tracker has been created to monitor how closer your favorite drivers are to making it in.Ahead of Sunday night’s race at North Wilkesboro Speedway, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR The Chase Clinch Scenarios entering the Window World 450. Of note, only Ryan Blaney can clinch this weekend, but there are plenty of other top drivers on the brink of clinch scenarios the following week.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementIMAGN IMAGES via Reuters ConnectIt’s not a guarantee that Ryan Blaney clinches his spot in The Chase this weekend at North Wilkesboro, but it’s extremely likely. After all, he needs just 36 points and he’s averaged 39.4 points over the last nine races with at least 36 in five of those races. If he doesn’t get it this weekend, it’s a practical guarantee to happen at the Brickyard 400.IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters ConnectIt’s safe to say that no one, outside of Joe Gibbs Racing, would’ve predicted coming into the season that Ty Gibbs would be one of the first drivers to clinch a spot in The Chase. Barring a win in the next two weeks at either North Wilkesboro or Indianapolis, it’s not happening in July. However, given he needs just 32.3 points per race to make it in the next three races, locking up that spot at Iowa Speedway (Aug. 9) or Richmond (Aug. 15) is doable.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementIMAGN IMAGES via Reuters ConnectIt’s at this point in The Chase watch where we see just how down to the wire it will come for some drivers. Will Chase Elliott make The Chase this season? Yes. However, given that he needs 153 points as of now to clinch, it’s going to take him until August to do so. Fortunately for the No. 9 team, Elliott’s consistency (20–plus points in seven consecutive races) makes it a certainty.IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters ConnectKyle Larson should be much closer to this in terms of his clinching scenario. However, already stuck in a year-long winless drought, he’s been a bit of his own worst enemy as of late. Larson has totaled just 23 points in his last two races and he had a stretch in the spring from Talladega through Watkins Glen where he amassed just 18 total points. The turnaround is coming for the No. 5 team, but Larson will have made it a slightly closer call than it needed to be.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementIMAGN IMAGES via Reuters ConnectAs of now, it appears Chris Buescher will be the only RFK Racing driver making The Chase this season. Ryan Preece (-26 points below cutline) and Brad Keselowski (-43) are still in the hunt, but the competition for those final spots makes it iffy. Buescher, who sits 125 points above