​So this season is off to a terrible start for teams like the Chargers, Texans and Buccaneers. And also for me, because I’m now 1-2 (and only a couple minutes away from 0-3) in NFL Survivor, a contest that famously is one-and-done as far as losses go. But! Maybe you didn’t listen to me yet and now you are turning to my should-be-sage counsel going forward. Stranger things have happened. So check out my Week r pick for Survivor contests. And while we’re here, you can use our NFL Betting Model and our Bet Tracker to make a pick for yourself.NFL Survivor Picks for Week 4Every week, we have the same process. We eliminate teams in groups until we narrow it down to our real considerations. Start with all 32, whittle it down. And remember — this game is “once you use a team, they’re off the board,” so it’s not always just a matter of taking the team you think will win. There has to be some strategy. I can’t pick a team I’ve picked before, but you might not have tailed me, so previously used teams are eligible until the end.Opponent Is Too GoodMaybe these are good teams, maybe not, but it’s too hard to trust them given who they are facing. This is a 10-team list every week (fewer when there are byes); we are eliminating anyone facing a top-10 team in our FTN NFL Power Rankings. Carolina Panthers (vs. Detroit) Cincinnati Bengals (vs. Jacksonville) Denver Broncos (@ San Francisco) Jacksonville Jaguars (@ Cincinnati) Las Vegas Raiders (vs. Kansas City) Los Angeles Chargers (@ Seattle) New England Patriots (@ Buffalo) Philadelphia Eagles (vs. LA Rams) San Francisco 49ers (vs. Denver) Tennessee Titans (@ Baltimore) Some of these teams will win but you can’t confidently say so, considering who they’re facing. That’s 10 gone, 22 to go.They’re Too BadYou can face the worst team in all of football, but if you’re the second-worst team, well, I’m still not going to be too excited about selecting you. We’ll return to the power rankings here and cross off any team in the bottom 12. Arizona Cardinals (@ NY Giants) Atlanta Falcons (@ New Orleans) Cleveland Browns (vs. Pittsburgh) Green Bay Packers (@ Tampa Bay) Miami Dolphins (@ Minnesota) New York Giants (vs. Arizona) New York Jets (@ Chicago) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. Green Bay) Washington Commanders (vs. Indianapolis in London) Nine more eliminations leaves us with 13 remaining. Want more tools and analysis to keep you alive in your survivor pool? Check out PoolGenius for all the best offerings.Island GamesIsland games just get weird. I would need some very convincing evidence to pick anyone on a Thursday, or a Monday, or an overseas 9 a.m. ET game. There aren’t many left this week, but I still want to note them. Detroit Lions (@ Carolina) Indianapolis Colts (vs. Washington in London) New Orleans Saints (vs. Atlanta) Pittsburgh Steelers (@ Cleveland) Four more gone, nine left — our nine contenders.The ContendersOnce we’re down to this small a number of teams, we’re done cut