​Nobody likes a good prediction more than we do here at Buckeyes Wire, and in fact, we get into it ourselves as well when the time comes, and we will throughout the 2026 Ohio State and college football season.But if you’ve followed us at all, you know we like to check in on what the ESPN Matchup Predictor says about the probability of Ohio State winning each game on its schedule every week. The ESPN computers always adjust things after the latest slate of games, and we like to check in each time.Now that Week 3 is in the books, the computer model ESPN uses did its thing and spit out a new look at the chances of the Buckeyes winning each remaining game for the 2026 regular season schedule. Ohio State did exactly what we expected and blew the doors off of Kent State, but what other teams did too also plays a role in these analytics ESPN uses.This year’s schedule is a daunting one, with remaining road contests at Indiana, Iowa, and USC, and home games vs. Oregon and Michigan still to go.Here’s what ESPN’s Matchup Predictor says for a game-by-game prediction of the remainder of the Ohio State football schedule after three weeks and how it’s changed from the start. We include completed games going forward into the projected record for the Buckeyes.Sept. 5 vs. Ball StateLocation | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)Predicted winner | Ohio State (99.0%)Actual Result | Ohio State won 56-3All-time series | Ohio State now leads 1-0Actual running record | 1-0Sept. 12 at Texas LonghornsLocation | Darryl K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, Texas)Predicted winner | Texas (59.9%)Actual Result | Ohio State lost 24-23All-time series | Tied at 3-3Actual running record | 1-1Sept. 19 vs. Kent StateLocation | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)Predicted winner | Ohio State (99.0%)Actual Result | Ohio State won 59-3All-time series | Ohio State leads 4-0Actual running record | 2-1Sept. 26 vs. IllinoisLocation | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)Predicted winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes win probability | 95.3% (down from 97.0%)All-time series | Ohio State leads 69-30-4Projected running record | 3-1Oct. 3 at IowaLocation | Kinnick Stadium (Iowa City, Iowa)Predicted winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes win probability | 84.5% (down from 90.5%)All-time series | Ohio State leads 48-15-3Projected running record | 4-1Oct. 10 vs. MarylandLocation | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)Predicted winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes win probability | 95.6% (down from 96.6%)All-time series | Ohio State leads 9-0Projected running record | 5-1Oct. 17 at IndianaLocation | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, Indiana)Predicted winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes win probability | 54.6% (down from 59.5%)All-time series | Ohio State leads 80-13-5Projected running record | 6-1Oct. 31 at USCLocation | Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)Predicted winner | Ohio StateBuckeyes win probability | 77.2% (up from 75.6%)All-time series | USC leads 13-10-1Projected running record | 7-1Nov. 7 vs. OregonLocation | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)Pr