​(Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) | Getty Images The Green Bay Packers (1-2) visit a 0-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers team on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET as a 4-point favorite, and the matchup is defined by one injury: Baker Mayfield is out with a dislocated right thumb, so undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels makes his first NFL start.Through three weeks, the Bucs have the league’s worst offense by EPA/play (-0.23) and a top-six defense (-0.14), per SumerSports.That split is the whole preview. Tampa’s defense is good enough to keep a broken Packers offense from finding easy answers, especially on the ground. Tampa’s offense, now without its starting quarterback behind a line that has already allowed 13 sacks, is the softest unit Jonathan Gannon’s defense will see this season.The Packers win this game by refusing to hand Tampa short fields, because the Bucs have been undone by turnovers and special teams far more than by their defense.Key LossesWR Mike Evans (49ers)LB Lavonte David (retired)CB Jamel Dean (Steelers)Edge Haason Reddick (free agency)DL Logan Hall (Texans)RB Rachaad White (free agency)OC Josh Grizzard (fired)QB coach Thad Lewis (fired)DL coach Charlie Strong (fired)DB coach Kevin Ross (fired)ST coordinator Thomas McGaughey (fired)Offensive consultant Tom Moore (retired)Key AdditionsOC Zac Robinson (ex-Falcons)Passing game coordinator T.J. YatesOffensive assistant Ken ZampeseST coordinator Danny Smith (ex-Steelers)LB Alex Anzalone (2 years, $17M)DL A’Shawn RobinsonDL Rakeem Nuñez-RochesEdge Al-Quadin MuhammadRB Kenneth Gainwell (2 years, $14M)Edge Rueben Bain Jr. (draft)LB Josiah Trotter (draft, 2nd round)WR Ted Hurst III (draft)CB Keionte Scott (draft)QB Jalon Daniels (undrafted)Note: Bowles still calls the defense; no DC hiredEfficiency, 2026 through Week 3 (per SumerSports)Offense EPA/play: -0.23 (32nd)Offense EPA/dropback: -0.33 (31st)Offense EPA/rush: -0.06 (~14th)Offense success rate: 37.6% (30th)Offense rush success rate: 48.9% (7th, after Week 2)Defense EPA/play allowed: -0.14 (6th)Defense EPA/dropback allowed: -0.08 (12th)Defense EPA/rush allowed: -0.22 (4th)Defense success rate allowed: 37.6% (5th)Defense rush success rate allowed: 2nd-lowest in NFLEfficiency, 2025Offense dropback EPA/play: 0.06 (18th)Offense rush EPA/play: -0.09 (24th)Offense EPA/play, Week 7 on: -0.089 (26th)Defense EPA/dropback allowed, Week 10 on: 0.280 (27th)Not publicly available: pass success rate (either side) and 2025 success-rate splits2025 in review: 6-2 to 8-9Tampa Bay started 6-2 and finished 8-9, missing the playoffs for the first time since 2019 and losing the NFC South to Carolina on a tiebreaker on the final day. The collapse began right after the Week 9 bye: losses to New England, Buffalo and the Rams (by a combined 106-62) started a stretch where the team went 2-7 the rest of the way.The offense regressed under first-year coordinator Josh Grizzard. Liam Coen’s 2024 unit ranked top-five in nearly everything. In 2025 the Bucs averaged 22.4 po