Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoit Saint Denis prediction, pick for UFC 329

By admin — In News — July 11, 2026

   ​Paddy Pimblett and Benoit Saint Denis will square off as the co-main event on UFC 329’s main card, set for Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Here’s a concise breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom. In terms of recent form, Pimblett is looking to rebound from his first setback under the UFC banner, a unanimous decision defeat to current champion Justin Gaethje. On the other side, Saint Denis arrives with momentum, riding a five-fight winning streak that includes notable victories over Kyle Prepolec, Mauricio Ruffy, Beneil Dariush, and Dan Hooker.
The stakes of this lightweight clash are high, as the co-main event spot at UFC 329 puts these two up-and-coming lightweights on a nationally televised platform with potentially title implications down the line. When the matchup was initially evaluated, there was a tilt toward Saint Denis, given his forward pressure and the momentum he had built. However, the analysis shifted as tape study revealed several recurring issues in Saint Denis’s game that Pimblett could exploit. While Saint Denis has shown progression and has earned praise for his work with his new head coach, Nicolas Ott, there remain gaps in his striking that could be vulnerable against Pimblett’s unique rhythm and unorthodox approach.
Pimblett is not a conventional technician in the traditional sense, but his rhythm disrupts opponents at all levels. Add to that Pimblett’s willingness to take advantage of scrambles and openings, paired with a hard-willed durability, and the expectation is that he can capitalize on Saint Denis’s early mistakes. The analysis suggests Pimblett could seize opportunities as soon as they present themselves, particularly if Saint Denis over-extends or becomes tentative under pressure.
The official pick from the analysis leans toward Pimblett securing a finish, predicting a stoppage by strikes in the second round. Oddsmakers opened this fight as a pick’em, but public money has shifted the line in Saint Denis’s favor. As of the write-up, Saint Denis is listed around -154 with Pimblett at +126 on FanDuel, indicating a nuanced market where Saint Denis is favored but Pimblett is perceived as a live, dangerous underdog capable of upsetting the favorite.
Fans should expect an intense pace as the two fighters approach the cage around 10:40 p.m. ET for the co-main event, with the bout streaming live on Paramount+. The pairing has drawn intrigue because it pits Pimblett’s unorthodox, opportunistic style against Saint Denis’s rising momentum and evolving skill set, including improvements under Ott’s coaching. The result could shape the trajectory of both fighters within the welterweight or lightweight divisions, depending on performance and how this fight unfolds under the bright lights of UFC 329.
This rewrite reflects the analysis originally published by MMA Junkie, framing the Pimblett vs. Saint Denis prediction and its SEO-friendly context around UFC 329’s main card. The original piece highlighted Pimblett’s drive to rebound from a loss to Gaethje, Saint Denis’s streak, and the stylistic contrasts that make the bout compelling, while noting the market shifts that favored Saint Denis despite Pimblett’s threat. The anticipated broadcast time and streaming details remain consistent, with Paramount+ carrying the live action.  

Content Source: Yahoo News

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