​Dec 27, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston (1) runs after the catch as Houston Texans cornerback Tremon Smith (11) defends during the first half at SoFi Stadium. © Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn ImagesLast September, Quentin Johnston seemed to be taking a huge step forward in his third season. Fantasy football managers were winning matchups on the back of his 15+ PPR points and he appeared to be the alpha of this developing offense. He, however, limped to the finish line and gave us a near replica of his 2024 stat line.Is statistical growth to be expected from the former Horned Frog, or is another hit-and-miss season the most likely outcome for QJ?Should You Draft Quentin Johnston in Fantasy Football?Johnston’s Redraft Fantasy Football ValueWe were so close. So, so close.Johnston scored twice in the season opener in São Paulo and cleared 85 yards or scored in four of his five games after that. Drafted between Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Zay Flowers in 2023, making good on that draft capital seemed like an uphill battle entering last season—but we finally had proof of concept over a decent sample size, with him leading an offense moving in a direction we liked.Until we didn’t.Johnston posted just a pair of top-20 finishes in the second half of last season, and both arrived long after you had lost faith in him. There was a week where he turned 10 targets into just 42 yards, and seven days later, he was held off the stat sheet altogether.Regression to the mean hit like a ton of bricks. We left 2025 with the exact same baseline expectation for him that we entered with, and that is simply not enough to bank on.He turns 25 in September, making it dangerous to assume his developmental window has slammed shut; however, with 52.2% of his career games resulting in a single-digit PPR point total, it is hard to get too excited.Factor in that he has just as many career games with fewer than two PPR points as he does with 16+ (six apiece), and investing in him over any of the primary rookie WRs—or options like Josh Downs and Jayden Reed, who watched teammates vacate targets right in front of them—becomes an even tougher sell.Win Your League: Fantasy Football League Winners in 2026: Jeremiyah Love, Quentin Johnston, and Kyle Pitts Have High PotentialThe idea of betting on a 28-year-old Justin Herbert feels comfortable. It feels like a reasonable gamble in the middle rounds, and I understand the logic of talking yourself into Johnston’s sporadic profile. Still, it is the opportunity cost hurdle that I cannot clear. The wide receiver position is as deep as it has ever been, which actively devalues players who struggle to offer consistent week-to-week production, no matter how tantalizing their single-game ceiling might be.Johnston’s Dynasty Fantasy Football ValueThe Bolts ranked fourth in red-zone dropback rate a season ago. With Herbert locked in under center for the foreseeable future, it is easy to project this