BOURNEMOUTH, ENGLAND – JANUARY 07: Johan Lange Sporting Director of Tottenham Hotspur ahead of the Premier League match between Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur at Vitality Stadium on January 07, 2026 in Bournemouth, England. (Photo by Catherine Ivill – AMA/Getty Images) | Getty Images Let’s talk some more about the transfer market!Tottenham Hotspur had an eventful, if not crazy, summer transfer window that is yet to translate to success on the football pitch, and this series aims to make sense of it all. Though it’s well known that a club’s wage bill is arguably the most reliable predictor of success in the Premier League, it’s nonetheless interesting to dive into the data^ surrounding Spurs’ transfer activity to understand the approach, strategy, and whether there are any indicators for future success in there.In short, are Spurs BAD at transfers? And should we be hopeful following Spurs’ eventful 2026/27 summer transfer window?We left off Part 1 with an overview of Spurs’ 26/27 summer transfer strategy: invest heavily in experienced, Premier League-ready players while significantly turning over the squad. Will that be a successful strategy, and how does said approach compare to that of some of the Premier League’s most successful clubs? ^ Data for this piece cover senior player incomings and outgoings in summer windows only; whether a player is considered a senior player or not is determined by Transfermarkt; promotions from youth teams are not included. Additionally, loan to buy deals are treated as just that: loans, and I have tracked free outgoing transfers and player releases separately… but more on that later. Basically, the idea was to compare apples with apples wherever possible.Reviewing Spurs’ transfer strategyAs covered in the previous piece, there were a few notable takeaways from the data with regards to Spurs’ summer: ALL of Spurs’ ten signings were from English clubs; Spurs’ average incoming age of 27.4 was the highest of the four clubs in our dataset; and Spurs splashed the cash on two record signings.What do the data, however, say about the impact of that approach on Premier League performance? Let’s take a look at how this approach has impacted clubs’ points in the ensuing seasons:Transfer success analysis: % of signings from English clubs, age refresh gap, and largest two signings % share of spend vs points change from previous seasonFirstly, there’s the focus on “Premier League-proven” players, or at least those coming from within the English pyramid, and there’s not really much correlation with a year-on-year improvement here. You could maybe make an argument that too many signings from within the UK or too few is a net negative, but probably the biggest takeaway is that the cliche has little truth to it: it doesn’t really matter whether players come from within the Premier League or not; a transfer strategy focused on homegrown players not guaranteed to improve your overall perform
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