​The last two spots in the World Cup semifinals will be decided on Saturday, starting with England taking on a Norway side that has emerged as one of the tournament’s biggest surprises. Both teams arrived with statement wins in the Round of 16: England ended Mexico’s long unbeaten run at Estadio Azteca, delivering Mexico its first defeat there in more than a decade, while Norway stunned Brazil in a dazzling display led by Erling Haaland. Later, Switzerland will aim to turn its tense, shootout victory over Colombia into the tournament’s boldest upset by stopping Lionel Messi and Argentina from defending their title, after the reigning champions narrowly survived Cape Verde and Egypt.
For all your World Cup betting picks, here are tonight’s TST Best Bets, brought to you by BetOnline.ag. New players can claim a 50% welcome bonus and up to $250 in free bets. First pick: Norway vs. England — Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: Aside from a potential Argentina-France final, it’s hard to envision a match in this World Cup with this much elite attacking talent on display. Haaland sits third in the Golden Boot race with seven goals. Norway forward Erling Haaland (9) celebrated with teammate Andreas Schjelderup (21) after scoring the second goal in their Round of 16 victory over Brazil at the New York/New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, on Sunday, July 5, 2026. (In the same photo sequence, Haaland is pictured with Schjelderup.) Harry Kane is tied for fourth with six goals, and Jude Bellingham is tied for sixth with four. With both teams loaded with finishers and little in the way of a shut-down defense, they’ve advanced through the knockout rounds with high-scoring, exciting displays. England has managed three goals conceded and five scored in the knockout phase, while Norway has won both of its knockout matches 2-1 and has gone over the total in every tournament match so far. Given the abundance of attacking talent on both sides and the absence of a consistently stingy defense, this over should hit comfortably.
Second pick: Argentina 3-way moneyline (-140). Rationale: Argentina has arguably faced the softest path among the quarterfinalists, yet the defending champions have had to claw their way through both knockout rounds, needing extra time to beat Cape Verde 3-2 before erasing a 2-0 deficit against Egypt with a rally that began in the 78th minute. Although their route hasn’t been as dominant as France’s, Switzerland does not appear likely to be the team to end Argentina’s bid for back-to-back World Cup titles. Switzerland managed a narrow win in the Round of 16, leaning on a conservative approach that kept them in contention, but they’ll need another extraordinary defensive effort to stifle Messi and company.