​Tennessee will kick off its 2026 football season Sept. 5 against Furman at Neyland Stadium. The Vols will open fall training camp on Aug. 5 in preparation for their upcoming campaign.Ahead of the upcoming season, ESPN’s College Football Power Index was released. The Vols are projected to have a 7.3-4.7 record.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementESPN’s Matchup Predictor also projected win percentage chances for each Tennessee game this season. The Vols are projected to defeat Furman, Georgia Tech, Kennesaw State, Auburn, Arkansas, South Carolina, Kentucky and Vanderbilt.Tennessee has a 50.6% chance to win at South Carolina on Oct. 24, marking the Vols’ closest SEC game projection.Below is Tennessee’s 2026 football schedule, along with game-by-game win percentage chances from ESPN’s Matchup Predictor.More: 2026 SEC football projected win-loss recordsDateOpponentWin percentage chanceSept. 5Furman (Knoxville, Tennessee)99.0%Sept. 12Georgia Tech (Atlanta, Georgia)74.3%Sept. 19Kennesaw State (Knoxville, Tennessee)96.2%Sept. 26Texas (Knoxville, Tennessee)24.5%Oct. 3Auburn (Knoxville, Tennessee)65.3%Oct. 10Arkansas (Fayetteville, Arkansas)73.5%Oct. 17Alabama (Knoxville, Tennessee)40.9%Oct. 24South Carolina (Columbia, South Carolina)50.6%Oct. 31Open dateNov. 7Kentucky (Knoxville, Tennessee)80.8%Nov. 14Texas A&M (College Station, Texas)28.0%Nov. 21LSU (Knoxville, Tennessee)42.1%Nov. 28Vanderbilt (Nashville, Tennessee)62.4%More: College football stadiums ranked top 25 for toughest places to play1 / 16Members of the military hold up a American Flag before the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Penn State Nittany Lions at Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 11, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.(Kevin C. Cox, Getty Images)Follow Vols Wire on Facebook and X (formerly Twitter).AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThis article originally appeared on Vols Wire: 2026 Tennessee football win percentage chances each game