A 24-team CFP and a single guaranteed spot: Where the Group of Six fits in the new math

By MAURA CAREY — In News — November 10, 2026

   ​As the dust settled following the announcement that the College Football Playoff was expanding to 24 teams beginning next season, there was a hopeful word offered up by virtually everyone within the Group of Six football conferences: Opportunity.Another word they used almost as much: Uncertainty.Expansion brings a chance for 12 additional teams to make a run at the national championship in what has been coined the 19-4-1 model. But there are no guarantees beyond the four spots reserved for the Power Four conference champions and one spot designated for the highest-ranked Group of Six team.The remaining 19 seeds will be chosen by the CFP selection committee, and pretty much everyone is wondering if that will favor Power Four teams at the expense of Group of Six programs that may have fewer losses but lighter strengths of schedule.Some Group of Six representatives, like Sun Belt Conference Commissioner Keith Gill, say the 24-team expansion will serve them well. He noted that six Sun Belt champions since 2019 would have made the top 24 of the final CFP rankings and made an expanded bracket.The American Conference’s Tom Pernetti praised expansion for keeping “more programs in the playoff hunt” with a chance at hosting games while Conference USA’s Judy MacLeod said it “means more chances to compete for something special.”Expansion not universally welcomed by Group of SixThe news was less welcomed by others. Mid-American Conference Commissioner Jon Steinbrecher said he has long advocated for more access to the playoff, though he is uncertain expansion strengthens college football as a whole.“We must also recognize that a larger playoff does not necessarily mean greater financial benefits for all conferences and institutions, making the long-term sustainability of the entire FBS an important consideration,” Steinbrecher said. “The expansion of the playoff creates opportunities, but a larger playoff alone does not define progress.”The Mountain West acknowledged the “significant change to the structure of the college football postseason” but held off on further comment.The postseason for college football is now crowded with tournaments, from the NAIA (20 teams) to Division III (40 teams), Division II (32) and the two tournaments in Division I (12 in the current CFP and 24 in the Championship Subdivision). The Group of Six has nearly 70 teams. Would there be an appetite — and TV time and revenue — for a Group of Six-only postseason?“I got asked about the Group of Six playoff. I’m all for that. I think that would be a good thing if we want to let one in there, that’s fine,” Wyoming coach Jay Sawvel said Monday, according to WGWN-TV. “A year ago, we let two Group of Six teams in and one of them had a 30-point road loss, to me, don’t do that because then it doesn’t show well. And then they get in the playoff and lose big and everybody bags on Group of Six teams.”The playoff format and the chase for moneyThe 12-team pl