LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 03: Decker DeGraaf #86 of the Washington Huskies celebrates a touchdown with John Mills #72 during a game against the USC Trojans at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on October 03, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Ben Liebenberg/Getty Images) | Getty Images Last week was a bloodbath against the spread. I picked three underdogs to cover relatively large spreads and they all lost by more than the margin. Iowa @ Washington (-3.5)I’m sure I’m not the only one who raised an eyebrow when I saw that the Dawgs were favored over a ranked Iowa team. There are a few factors that work in UW’s favor. Iowa has to travel across half the country on a short week to play a road game after facing Ohio St. Their QB is questionable (and reports on his availability do not sound too optimistic). UW showed a pulse against USC and may be trending toward a more functional offense. Jedd Fisch’s comments about playing John Mills more at LT and moving Kodi Greene in for more reps at guard show that he is at least seeing the same problems the rest of us see. On the other hand, picking UW means that you think Demond Williams will be able to lead an offense against a very big, physical Iowa defensive front. His jittery pocket presence has failed to hold up against vastly inferior opponents. UW’s semi-useful run game came against a bad USC defense. And as for Iowa’s QB injury, when was the last time anyone picked Iowa based on QB production? I remain hopeful that the offense can continue to improve, but it’s a big hurdle to improve quickly and profoundly enough to handle Iowa’s defense. Iowa 21 – Washington 17Indiana @ Nebraska (+7.5)A year removed from having a Heisman-winning QB, Indiana has become very much a run-focused offense. They’re averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground, with both Turbo Richard and Lee Beebe chewing up turf. Nebraska is 5-0, but the schedule has been very soft. At some point, Indiana will slip up. It’s entirely possible that it could happen as a road favorite in a conference game. I think Nebraska can keep it close, but I’ll take the Hoosiers to remain unbeaten.Indiana 28 – Nebraska 23UCLA @ Oregon (-11.5)At 4-0 and into the top-25 heading into a big conference game, you could argue that UCLA has taken the place UW wishes it had in the B1G. Bob Chesney has the Bruins running the ball wonderfully, and Oregon has not been lights out in run defense. Wayne Knight (Hello, Newman) has led the attack with 9.1 YPC. It sounds more likely that Dylan Raiola will start at QB with Dante Moore out with a concussion. UCLA has not won in Eugene since 2004, though Chesney looks very much like the kind of coach who can buck trends. Oregon 30 – UCLA 24Illinois @ Michigan St (+1.5)Both teams probably expected to be better than 2-3 at this point, especially Illinois. Pat Fitzgerald was not an offensive mastermind at Northwestern and his team is 125th in scoring so far this year. Former Spartan QB
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