Can Jacksonville’s Defense Repeat Without Devin Lloyd?

By admin — In News — July 14, 2026

   ​With Training Camp on the coming horizon, Jacksonville Jaguars fans and media filling the dead zone period between now and the first padded practice could do a lot worse than rewatching the 2025 season from start to finish. And for those, like me, who have, one thing becomes immediately clear: Anthony Campanile’s defense did not just benefit from turnovers in 2025, it was almost entirely defined by them.The numbers behind the 2025 Jacksonville Jaguars tell a story that is difficult to ignore. A team that in no way could be defined by their sack numbers, ending the season 27th in the NFL, totaled 31 turnovers in 17 regular season games. While struggling to get the quarterback to the ground, the 13-win Jaguars averaged just under two takeaways per game, while simultaneously facing the league’s second fastest time to throw metrics. The plan was clear: stop the run on first downs, bring a heavy blitz presence on second and fourth downs. Use stunts and games mercilessly on passing downs. Eventually the opposing quarterback or skill players will provide an opportunity for a game-shifting play, as long as Jacksonville’s defenders capitalized. And capitalized they did.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementWhen the Jaguars won the turnover differential, they were 8-1, with the only defeat coming against the Cincinnati Bengals, courtesy of a late, fourth-down, pass interference penalty that most observers in Duval would argue should never have been called. Remove that single play, and this team was effectively perfect when it controlled the turnover margin.Including the Wild Card playoff loss to Buffalo, Jacksonville went 3-3 when the turnover battle was even, and 2-1 when losing it. In matchups where Jacksonville failed to force a single turnover, the Jaguars went 1-2 last season, with both losses coming against NFC West opponents in the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams, and the lone victory coming in a close, Week 12 overtime matchup against the Arizona Cardinals.A Clear Path to Victory:Positive Turnover Diff: 8-1 record (88.9%)Tied Turnover Diff: 3-3 record (50%)Negative Turnover Diff: *2-1 record (66.6%)Most notably, according to a Harvard study, NFL teams with a positive turnover differential normally win 69.4-percent of their matchups. The 2025 Jaguars out-kicked the coverage in that area, in a big way, by winning 88.9-percent of last season’s matchups with a positive differential. From that study, teams with a +1 turnover differential historically win 69.4% of games, +2 differential results in 82.3% of games won, and +3 turnovers wins 91.4% of possible games.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement2025 Jacksonville JaguarsNo Turnovers Forced: 1-2 record (33.3%)1+ Turnover Forced: *12-3 record (80%)2+ Turnovers Forced: 8-2 record (80%)3+ Turnovers Forced: 5-1 record (83.3%)*including playoffsThe formula was as pure as it was simple: force turnovers, win games. This brings the conversation directly to the most significant defensive depart  

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