OXFORD, MS – OCTOBER 17: Ole Miss Rebels wide receiver Caleb Cunningham (3) catches a pass for a TD during the game between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Missouri Tigers on October 17, 2026 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS. (Photo by Jason Homan/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images It’s Friday, which means it’s time for the great American tradition of doing your best Peter Gibbons and mentally checking out of work after lunch.And while you’re celebrating tradition, you can combine your zoning out with the digestion of matchup numbers between Ole Miss and Texas. These numbers are to help us see the advantages, disadvantages, and LOOKS LIKE A 50-50 BALL, BOB. As we found out last week, given the relatively small season sample size, some numbers may be fraudulent. For instance, look at your boy getting one, nay, multiple things right.From last week’s post about Missouri:As for Missouri, not an explosive offense, but the defensive numbers are strong. It should be noted the one dynamic offense they played (Mississippi State) torched them, which makes me lean in the direction of they’ve benefited from playing bad offenses in Troy, Kansas, and Texas A&M.BAM.Missouri’s success rate numbers indicate they’re inconsistent from drive to drive and series to series…AGAIN.If the Ole Miss defense is trending in a non-trash direction and the Missouri defense will deflate against better offenses, Ole Miss should be fine…COUNTING UP OUR CASH FROM LAYING THE 5.5 POINTS.Per the usual, we’ll lean on TeamRankings, and Parker Fleming’s Ole Miss/Texas preview and focus on the Five Factors. As a note, Team Rankings only uses FBS vs. FBS stats, and Fleming uses FBS vs. FBS with garbage time stats removed.As a reminder, the Five Factors are:ExplosivenessEfficiencyFinishing DrivesField PositionTurnoversIf you win all or most of those categories, you’re probably going to win the game.ExplosivenessTwo ways to measure this are yards per play and points per play. The more explosive plays you have, the easier it is to have scoring drives.Yards per play (via TeamRankings):Ole Miss offense – 20th (6.4) vs. Texas defense – 2nd (4.0)Texas offense – 91st (5.2) vs. Ole Miss defense – 68th (5.4)Points per play (via TeamRankings):Ole Miss offense – 10th (0.543) vs. Texas defense – 21st (0.259)Texas offense – 45th (0.435) vs. Ole Miss defense – 43rd (0.333)Ole Miss’ defensive numbers continue their climb to the vicinity of last year’s, which you might expect after throttling Vanderbilt and Missouri, and the offense continues to be the offense.As for Texas, their offensive struggles have been documented WELL TO QUITE WELL over the last two weeks after terrible performances against Oklahoma and Florida. Things are in a bad enough place that rumors about backup quarterback KJ Lacey Jr. getting more first-team snaps in practice this week were swirling (though Steve Sarkisian denied them).Obviously, Sarkis
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