Who Ole Miss football needs to lose to maintain CFP chances after Georgia rout

By admin — In News — November 8, 2026

   ​OXFORD — Ole Miss football coach Pete Golding is urging his team to focus on what it can control.After a lopsided loss to Georgia, the College Football Playoff is likely not one of those things.No. 2 Georgia beat No. 12 Ole Miss 42-7 on Nov. 7 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. It’s the fewest points Ole Miss (6-3, 4-3 SEC) has scored in a game with Trinidad Chambliss as the starter, and the loss is very likely to drop the Rebels, who were No. 10 in the initial CFP poll, out of the 12-team bracket.The Rebels aren’t out, but now winning out isn’t necessarily enough to clinch a spot in the final 12-team CFP before it expands to 24 teams next year. ESPN’s playoff predictor gave Ole Miss a 41% chance to make the CFP after Week 10’s games were over.”There’s never been a banner up there, but obviously players come here with the expectation to compete for a championship,” Golding said. “In order to do that, you have to do what champions do, and that takes a lot Monday through Friday. Our focus will go back to what we can control.”Ole Miss’ path to the College Football PlayoffAfter the game, Chambliss remained optimistic about his team finishing strong. Ole Miss will play at Oklahoma in Week 11 and host Wofford in Week 12 and Mississippi State in Week 13.”You don’t want the team to feel sorry for themselves or feel like the season’s over, because honestly, I don’t think our season is over,” Chambliss said. “We just have to have a positive mindset going into the week.”Winning out is the first given. The Rebels must go 3-0 the rest of the way.Ultimately, being a top-11 seed in the final CFP poll is what guarantees a spot, because the No. 12 team is at risk of being bumped for an automatic bid. The CFP Committee evaluates advanced metrics, records and the eye test to pick the field, and will release an updated poll on Nov. 10.Notre Dame (No. 11 CFP) beating Miami (No. 1) makes it harder for Ole Miss. The win likely cemented Notre Dame’s spot in the CFP, but didn’t do enough to bump the Hurricanes out.Who Ole Miss football needs to loseChaos is the first ingredient. Ole Miss wants just one team to qualify from the Big 12 and ACC, so it should root for the highest-ranked teams in those leagues to win the conference championship and knock out any second-place teams.If Notre Dame falters in one of its final three games (vs Boston College, vs SMU, at Syracuse) that could also clear a spot.Four SEC teams were projected to make the CFP bracket in the initial poll reveal. Use that as a guide. How can Ole Miss be among the top four in the CFP poll among SEC teams? Lock in Georgia and Alabama. The Bulldogs were No. 2 in the initial rankings, and Alabama was No. 5. Both teams got big wins in Week 10 to solidify their places atop the rankings. Ole Miss needs Kentucky (No. 6 CFP) and Texas (No. 7) to lose. Tennessee (No. 13) is also likely to jump Ole Miss in the next CFP rankings reveal after beating Kentucky. Ole Miss needs the Vols to finish poorly.LSU (No. 14 CFP),